Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.730596e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000077 0.000088
2025-02-02 2.987651e-05 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000075 0.000090 0.000109
2025-02-09 2.392242e-05 0.000034 0.000045 0.000060 0.000078 0.000100 0.000126
2025-02-16 2.135117e-05 0.000032 0.000046 0.000064 0.000087 0.000114 0.000149
2025-02-23 1.783292e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064 0.000090 0.000123 0.000165
2025-03-02 1.402409e-05 0.000025 0.000039 0.000061 0.000089 0.000125 0.000173
2025-03-09 1.138260e-05 0.000022 0.000037 0.000059 0.000089 0.000129 0.000184
2025-03-16 9.370805e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000057 0.000090 0.000134 0.000194
2025-03-23 7.881225e-06 0.000017 0.000033 0.000057 0.000092 0.000139 0.000206
2025-03-30 6.553303e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000056 0.000093 0.000144 0.000217
2025-04-06 5.256560e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000054 0.000092 0.000146 0.000224
2025-04-13 3.966723e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000050 0.000089 0.000145 0.000226
2025-04-20 2.998014e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000049 0.000089 0.000149 0.000237
2025-04-27 2.588219e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000050 0.000095 0.000160 0.000259
2025-05-04 2.059549e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000050 0.000097 0.000168 0.000276
2025-05-11 1.919309e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000053 0.000105 0.000184 0.000305
2025-05-18 1.525154e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000053 0.000107 0.000191 0.000322
2025-05-25 1.048447e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000050 0.000105 0.000192 0.000328
2025-06-01 7.456937e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000105 0.000195 0.000339
2025-06-08 5.324109e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000048 0.000105 0.000199 0.000351
2025-06-15 3.887543e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000047 0.000107 0.000205 0.000365
2025-06-22 2.703189e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000046 0.000107 0.000209 0.000378
2025-06-29 1.673836e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000044 0.000106 0.000211 0.000386